Joe Harvey Mortgage Blog
Joe Harvey (NMLS# 619170)
Loan Originator
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Tuesday, September 2, 2014


Fast start to the new week, new month as ISM manufacturing and Construction Spending handily beat expectations.  The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing composite jumped 2.2 points to 59.0, the best reading in 3 years.  New orders were up 3.3 points, the best print since April of 2004.  Record aircraft orders did the trick.  The employment index fell .1 yet remained strong at 58.1.  Overall, this is an impressive report.  Construction Spending was also released, up 1.8% month on month.  Again, this was the best reading in over 2 years with Residential construction up .7% and Nonresidential up 2.5%. 

 

The week ahead will feature tier one data with Factory Orders and the Fed’s Beige book tomorrow, ADP Employment estimates, Weekly Unemployment Claims, and ISM Non-Manufacturing (services) data on Thursday, and then Big Daddy, the Employment Report for August on Friday. 

 

In world news, Russian Leader Putin warned Europe he could take Kiev in 2 weeks! Bold talk from the honey badger yet this hasn’t moved the market.  For now, the geopolitical spotlight has focused on the European Central Bank Meeting this Thursday and overall risk in Europe. 

 
Technically, today’s early selling has stabilized albeit at the lows (worst levels) of the day.  10 year notes are off 17/32’s to yield 2.41%.  Mortgage backs are holding up well as spreads tighten to the treasury complex (down 4 to 7/32’s).  Stocks are off 14 points on the Dow.  Our chart now paints a picture of weakness below the 10 day moving average.